Wed, Jan 25, 2012 Pick

Missouri @ Oklahoma St
Any Other Result
Confidence: 80%

The line here is Missouri by -9, which leaves a -5.5 cushion for OSU.  OSU is at home, and while Missouri is definitely the better team, 15 points is a lot to give.

Mon, Jan 17, 2012 Pick

Maryland @ Florida State
Any Other Result
Confidence: 75%

Maryland is getting points here with the line at -11.5, which leaves a -3 point cushion for Maryland in this prop.    Florida State looked good in its upset of UNC, but it has also lost to Princeton, Harvard, and Clemson.  FSU should win, but with the line at -11.5, Any Other Result should be the pick in this prop.

Mon, Jan 16, 2012 Pick

Missouri: Wins by Double Digits
Confidence: 90%

Mizzou is favored by -15 here, which gives a -5 point cushion for this double digit prop.  The Aggies have gone 2-5 in their last 7 games and their offense has been lacking in production, scoring 62.4 points/game and giving up 57.5 points/game while Mizzou has been scoring 83.9 points/game and giving up 62.9 points/game.

Sun, Jan 15, 2012

Clemson: Win or Single Digit Loss
Confidence: 70%

Duke is definitely the better team, but by how much?  I think Clemson can keep it closer than 10 points, and with the line at -6 for Duke, Clemson gets a -3.5 cushion in this prop, which I think should be enough.