Confidence: 90%
With the prop being a Double Digit Win for Illinois and the line at -3.5 as of this writing, Purdue has a -6.5 cushion, which should be plenty. Illinois was a -3.5 favorite in their last game against Ohio State, which resulted in a 17-7 win for Ohio State. Illinois has not proven itself against any elite teams and, although if I had to choose one, Illinois would be the better team, the odds favor Purdue: Win or Single Digit Loss, especially with the prop being an Illinois Win by Double Digits. Though it may not have a huge effect, Purdue also has the home field advantage.
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